Blackjack Odds and Payouts Guide – How to Improve Your Chances?

Playing blackjack for fun or professionally, it’s never a pleasant feeling, facing the daunting task to do the math on your own, whether you should hit, stand or surrender. For those of you who don’t know the numbers by heart, this guide will definitely come in handy. We’ll disclose the ins and outs of advantage play – you know – how to minimise the house edge, side bets probabilities of success etc.

Blackjack Odds – The Games with the Highest Probabilities

Why do we play blackjack? It’s easy to keep house edge in check, which is reflected in the naturally high RTP. You can expect numbers in the neighbourhood of 99% for ‘return to player’. In other words, it’s all fair and square between you and the casino. Even so, by playing pro-actively, you can improve your chances to win. To do that, you’re supposed to be aware of what the odds in the game are. That would include knowing how likely each individual bet is to succeed. Based on the experience we had with some of the best blackjack games, we listed those that are statistically the most profitable.

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Blackjack Game RTP House Edge Developer Play Here
Blackjack Switch 99.92% 0.08% Playtech www.ladbrokes.com
Blackjack Surrender 99.68% 99.68% Playtech www.bgo.com
Pontoon 99.64% 0.36% Playtech www.galacasino.com
Blackjack Classic 99.64% 0.47% Playtech www.888casino.com
Double Exposure 99.33% 0.67% NetEnt leovegas.com

When things pan out, it’s quite tempting to think that winning at blackjack is a piece of cake, while, in reality it’s not as easy as it seems. That’s so, because the situation changes dynamically due to the course of the game itself and the bets having different probabilities of success. Card counting is one way to take stock of the current situation, but it’s not easy to pull off. Staying pursuant to the concept of responsible gambling, we’ll give you an insight into the blackjack odds that come into play in a typical game of blackjack.

Your Probabilities Depend on the Bet

Dully placing the same wagers over and over again is never a recommended strategy. It will eventually get to you and, cause you to start making bad decisions. Throwing in some variety in the form of placing a side bet or two will help you not so much to win, as to avoid cramping your style. Just don’t make a meal of it! Blackjack side-bets are specific wager types that could depend on the blackjack variation (related to the name or theme).

The reality is that, they aren’t very cost-effective, at least not enough to justify a solid bet. Take this to mean that a bigger house edge is predominant. That’s not to say, all proposition wagers are the same – if anything, there’s good enough variance between the different types to prove otherwise. What we are saying is, it’s worth checking if how a side bet pays stacks up against the odds you’re actually backing.

How to Get the Best Blackjack Odds – Rules That Affect the House Edge

Blackjack Odds Situations House Edge Alteration
Soft 17 +0.2%
Number of Decks 0.18% – 0.50%
Doubling Down Restrictions +0.2%
Splitting Aces Is Prohibited +0.06%
6:5 Blackjack Payout +1.30%

In the realm of online casinos, the house edge of a given blackjack variant is usually predetermined, although the occurrence of certain outcomes can affect it. Some circumstances will stymie your chances of winning while other will better them. You ought to learn the different situations like the back of your hand in order to know what’s the mathematically correct decision under the present circumstances. By consulting the next table, you’ll be able to observe in what situations and how the house edge is altered. Bear in mind that different casino rules may apply for each of the cases described below.

There’s an appreciable difference between land-based casino and online blackjack, which is partly due to the gameplay specifics of some software products. The silver lining of this, however, is that the irregularities in the game variations and rules can be balanced out with the right blackjack strategy. It’s said that with the correct tactical approach, players can reduce the house advantage even further. That doesn’t sound implausible, not even the slightest – considering the number of reportedly tested strategies that can be found online.

Blackjack Payout Odds – What Could You Win

Blackjack Payouts Odds to Win Estimated House Edge
3:2 31.25% 0.5%
6:5 15.38% 2%

Nailing a perfect 21 is always a thrill but doesn’t always pay the same. Don’t worry, most of the time you will get a 150% return on your bet – a solid 3:2 – but that’s not always the case. 6:5 is where we’d advise you to draw the line. Accepting anything below 6:5 clearly shows that one is out of step with the current online gambling standards. To help you draw a bead on the severity of the matter, we’d like to point your attention to columns number two and three. The numbers speak eloquently in favour of the casinos laying odds of 3:2 for a blackjack.

By and large, the action in most variations of the game develops along the same lines, except for an outlier that tops all other versions in that it grants you the freedom to do the unthinkable – switch cards. The variation known as Blackjack Switch is, in our estimation, the most profitable of them all, precisely because it gives you the right to swap cards between two hands. This is a big deal for one reason – it gives you a way out when you desperately want to improve the strength of your hand/hands. In the face of all criticism, the game stays fairly popular in the land-based casinos of Las Vegas, and doubly popular in the online venues.

Payouts and Odds on Blackjack Side Bets

Blackjack Side Bets Payouts Blackjack Odds to Win
Perfect Pair 25:1 3.98%
Coloured Pair 12:1 8.26%
Mixed Pair 6:1 16.39%
Suited Trips 100:1 1.00%
Straight Flush 40:1 2.49%
Three of a Kind 30:1 3.32%
Straight 10:1 9.90%
Flush 5:1 19.61%

We made it clear already that many of the versions have their signature side bets. Even if you are to encounter the same bet under the same name in different variations, the payout rate could be different. But to focus on that would be missing the main point – there are many proposition bets, some of which may very well catch your fancy. The rule they all obey is payouts increase with the difficulty of the bet. As always, we gathered the best of what’s available in the table just below this paragraph. Let us run you through the options.

It’s not hard to deduce that staking a Suited Trips bet will do you justice in the long run, given the payout of 100:1 and the 1% probability of success (1×100 = 100). That means there is no gap between what you should be paid and what you are getting paid. It should be known, though, that backing fair odds is one thing but making your bet work is a completely different story. You only have to be right once every 99 times to keep afloat… Because the players possessing such enviable patience are few and far between, many prefer to stake their chips on the second best – Coloured Pair or Perfect Pair – where the house edge is also minimal. You can try blackjack in any high stakes casino on the internet and we bet that you will like it a lot.

Increase Your Blackjack Odds to Win – Top Tips

At some point, we mentioned there’s something you can do about house edge. The time has come to show you exactly what we mean by that. It has everything to do with controlling your betting patterns and choosing a suitable version where the blackjack odds against the house are acceptable. With this, you’re essentially laying the groundwork for a blackjack session where little could go wrong. In this manner, before long you’ll be able to make all the right decisions (from a statistical standpoint) – It’ll only take a little coaching. Feel free to avail yourself of the resourceful pointers listed below.

The number one thing to keep in mind when playing at a real-life casino, is to keep yourself calm and collected. It’s easy to get distracted by the surroundings – lots of noises, people and a rollercoaster of emotions permeating the air. Though not playing poker, put your poker face on and get busy! The money isn’t going to jump over to your side of the table all by itself, and that’s why you’re there. Even so, you want to look the part. Throw on your best jacket and hit the tables in style!

Play Blackjack for Real Money

We’ve waited until the very end to assume that you’re ready to play for real money. Nobody wants to wind up in a precarious situation with money on the line, not knowing what to do. But after all that’s been said so far, it really feels that we can now talk about the possibility to play real money blackjack online. Just a quick reminder – always allow for the fact that there’s no escaping the house edge talk some sense into yourself, especially when you cop it sweet and rake in a big pot. Now that we got that out of the way, let’s see what the current top recommended casino is.

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We didn’t pick the abovementioned operator for no reason. This is a casino that soared in popularity on account of a solid performance year after year. The company is licensed with the Gambling Commission and operates under the banner of fairness, just like many of the best blackjack sites. As far as bonus money goes – there’s not much left to be desired. Claiming the good-sized welcome pack is more than easy but playing through the wagering requirements is something else. Because the gameplay of blackjack is so above-board, you’ll be having a hard time clearing the wagering requirement by playing the game, be it live or in RNG mode.

Frequently Asked Questions

There’s one thing that synergizes with a well-written blackjack odds article and that’s an even better written frequently asked questions section. Setting the record straight on those hot topics is crucially important so we couldn’t resist giving you our take on them. As short as it may be, you will find some fundamental truths in this section, that will solidify and build on what you’ve already learned here.

❓ What Are the Odds of Winning Blackjack?

Playing a regular bet against the dealer has more to it than it seems on the surface. You have to take account of the cards that are no longer in play – a thing that only a skilled card counter can do. You don't leave empty-handed though – we have a neat blackjack odds table showing the side bets' probability of occurring.

😃 How to Beat the Odds in Blackjack?

There are a few special actions that not all casinos and game variants allow for, such as surrendering, splitting and doubling after pair splitting. Those are a nice way to gain the upper hand, once you are dealt the right cards. The best-case scenario for you is if the dealer stands on soft 17 and doubling after splitting is allowed.

🔝 What Are the Odds of Winning Blackjack at a Casino?

The probability of getting a blackjack is just below five percent – 4.83%. The number will change as the game progresses until the new shoe is brought into play. Remember that this percentage doesn't take into account the cases when the dealer too has a blackjack, which will result in a push.

🏆 Which Blackjack Has the Best Odds?

There can be little doubt that Single Deck Classic Blackjack has enough of a lucrative set of features to be called the one with "the best odds". You can re-split Aces, hit split Aces, double after a split and most importantly – blackjack pays 3:2. The more decks that are used, the bigger the edge the house gains.

🎴 What Are the Odds of Winning 5 Blackjack Hands in a Row?

The probability of winning a pot against the dealer, is 42.22%. When you multiply the number 0.4222 by itself 5 times (the winning streak we are looking to make), you get 0.0133%. That number sums up your chances of winning five time in a row at any blackjack table.

More Blackjack Guides

A shapeshifter of time, the game has come a long way from where it started originally. The same goes for the odds of winning – they are not one and the same. So, it would be too early to draw a final conclusion just yet. Though this odds overview was fairly informative, you’d want to hear about the different rules and strategies used in the game. There’s also the promised strategy chart in a separate article, ready to be used. Clearly, there’s more where that came from – we have a bunch of other blackjack guides you are sure to find useful. Help yourself.

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